Forecast by city

Erie Pennsylvania Winter Forecast 2016-17 (La Nina means Snow)

Winter Forecast
La Nina is here but it's on the weaker side as of September. We see this weak La Nina to peak now but get a second burst in December and January before moving to a neutral pattern Febraury and March. This weak La Nina means a colder winter for most of the nation and certainly much colder than last winter. The key to this winter will be how cold is the cold and how dominate will the Northern Jet (Arctic Jet) be vs. the moisture loaded Southern (Sub-Tropical Jet)?. Last year the Southern Jet was the big player off a massive El Nino but this winter that will not be the case most of the country. We expect an average swing of the NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) but much more of a dip from the AO (Arctic Oscillation) bringing a few polar vortex periods and many Alberta Clippers.
Winter Forecast

The Erie area will see above average snowfall this season, with plenty of cold air. We see many smaller type systems rather than the big hitters, but more total snowfall. Temperatures will run below normal for most of the winter as well.

Last Winter Snowfall
68.3″

Biggest Winter Snowfall Ever!
120.4 (1979)

Normal Snowfall
101.2″

This Winter (2016-2017)
104.2″ (+3.0″)

TEMPS THIS WINTER
OVERALL NEAR NORMAL

DECEMBER COLDER
JANUARY COLDER

FEBRUARY NORMAL
MARCH WARMER

THE WEATHER PROS AD FOR OUTLOOKS